Your numbers. Every matchup.

Browse complete weekly predictions, compare all 138 rated teams, test any matchup, and see where the current workbook disagrees with Vegas.

Model readyWeek 6 workbook loaded

Current Week6

Games on Schedule888

Completed Games390

Model Winner Accuracy86.9%

Playable Edges37

WEEK 6 DASHBOARD

CFB Model Dashboard

Exact displayed outputs from the workbook dashboard.

Current model

Top 25 Current Ratings

1AlabamaSEC36.26

2MiamiACC35.17

3Notre DameFBS Independents34.08

4GeorgiaSEC32.70

5Ohio StateBig Ten31.83

6LSUSEC30.11

7IndianaBig Ten29.21

8TexasSEC28.00

9UCLABig Ten26.53

10OregonBig Ten26.50

11UtahBig 1225.56

12PittsburghACC25.13

13HoustonBig 1224.40

14New MexicoMountain West24.11

15BYUBig 1223.24

16James MadisonSun Belt22.51

17NebraskaBig Ten22.20

18MissouriSEC21.53

19FloridaSEC20.96

20TennesseeSEC20.61

21Virginia TechACC20.56

22Mississippi StateSEC20.19

23UCFBig 1220.09

24Oklahoma StateBig 1219.46

25BaylorBig 1219.26

Largest model vs. market gaps

Best 25 Edges

North Carolina @ PittsburghPittsburgh ATS-14

Air Force @ Northern IllinoisAir Force ATS13

Sacramento State @ Bowling GreenSacramento State ATS11

Iowa @ WashingtonIowa ATS11

Coastal Carolina @ MarshallCoastal Carolina ATS11

UCLA @ OregonUCLA ATS10

Tulane @ ArmyArmy ATS-10

James Madison @ Georgia SouthernJames Madison ATS9

Buffalo @ ToledoToledo ATS-9

Duke @ Georgia TechDuke ATS9

Miami (OH) @ MassachusettsMassachusetts ATS-8

Stanford @ Notre DameNotre Dame ATS-8

Louisiana @ Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech ATS-8

Maryland @ Ohio StateMaryland ATS8

UCF @ Oklahoma StateUCF ATS8

North Dakota State @ UNLVNorth Dakota State ATS7

Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw StateKennesaw State ATS-7

Sam Houston @ LibertySam Houston ATS6

UConn @ TempleUConn ATS6

Southern Miss @ TroySouthern Miss ATS6

Charlotte @ North TexasNorth Texas ATS-6

Virginia Tech @ CaliforniaVirginia Tech ATS6

Kansas @ UtahKansas ATS5

South Florida @ UTSASouth Florida ATS5

Central Michigan @ OhioOhio ATS-5

Model winner differs from Vegas favorite

Upset Picks

Houston @ Kansas StateHouston Upset

Iowa @ WashingtonIowa Upset

UConn @ TempleUConn Upset

Illinois @ Michigan StateMichigan State Upset

Tulsa @ NavyTulsa Upset

Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw StateKennesaw State Upset

Miami (OH) @ MassachusettsMassachusetts Upset

Coastal Carolina @ MarshallCoastal Carolina Upset

Sacramento State @ Bowling GreenSacramento State Upset

Missouri State @ Western KentuckyMissouri State Upset

Ranked by GameScore

Top 25 Games of the Week

1Houston @ Kansas StateHouston -3

2UCLA @ OregonOregon -2

3Georgia @ AlabamaAlabama -6

4Iowa @ WashingtonIowa -8

5UConn @ TempleUConn -2

6Illinois @ Michigan StateMichigan State -3

7UCF @ Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -2

8Tulsa @ NavyTulsa -2

9Indiana @ NebraskaIndiana -5

10Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw StateKennesaw State -4

11Miami (OH) @ MassachusettsMassachusetts -6

12USC @ Penn StatePenn State -2

13Kansas @ UtahUtah -10

14Florida State @ LouisvilleLouisville -2

15Texas A&M @ MissouriMissouri -8

16Wake Forest @ NC StateWake Forest -4

17Syracuse @ VirginiaVirginia -5

18Texas @ OklahomaTexas -12

19Arizona @ West VirginiaArizona -2

20Coastal Carolina @ MarshallCoastal Carolina -8

21LSU @ KentuckyLSU -14

22South Florida @ UTSAUTSA -2

23Sacramento State @ Bowling GreenSacramento State -4

24Boise State @ Fresno StateBoise State -5

25Missouri State @ Western KentuckyMissouri State -1

MATCHUP LAB

Houston at Kansas State

No. 1 game on the Week 6 dashboard

Away team

#13 overallBig 1224.40 rating

Home team

#26 overallBig 1219.22 rating

Vegas home spread optional

Enter a negative number when the home team is favored.

WEEK 6 BOARD

Complete game predictions

Showing 58 of 58 scheduled games · 58 with posted lines · ranked directly from the workbook.

MatchupVegasModelWinnerWin %ATS pickEdgeConfidence

01Houston at Kansas StateKansas State home game · GameScore 100.0

Kansas State -2.5Houston -2.7Houston57%Houston ATS5.2Strong

02UCLA at OregonOregon home game · GameScore 92.1

Oregon -12.0Oregon -2.5Oregon57%UCLA ATS9.5Monster Edge

03Georgia at AlabamaAlabama home game · GameScore 92.0

Alabama -1.5Alabama -6.1Alabama66%Alabama ATS4.6Strong

04Iowa at WashingtonWashington home game · GameScore 89.3

Washington -3.0Iowa -8.1Iowa71%Iowa ATS11.1Monster Edge

05UConn at TempleTemple home game · GameScore 85.5

Temple -4.0UConn -1.6UConn55%UConn ATS5.6Strong

06Illinois at Michigan StateMichigan State home game · GameScore 85.3

Illinois -2.5Michigan State -2.7Michigan State57%Michigan State ATS5.2Strong

07UCF at Oklahoma StateOklahoma State home game · GameScore 83.4

Oklahoma State -9.5Oklahoma State -1.9Oklahoma State55%UCF ATS7.6Monster Edge

08Tulsa at NavyNavy home game · GameScore 82.7

Navy -3.0Tulsa -2.0Tulsa56%Tulsa ATS5.0Strong

09Indiana at NebraskaNebraska home game · GameScore 82.2

Indiana -7.5Indiana -4.5Indiana62%Nebraska ATS3.0Playable

10Jacksonville State at Kennesaw StateKennesaw State home game · GameScore 79.2

Jacksonville State -3.0Kennesaw State -3.7Kennesaw State60%Kennesaw State ATS6.7Strong

11Miami (OH) at MassachusettsMassachusetts home game · GameScore 77.9

Miami (OH) -2.0Massachusetts -5.9Massachusetts66%Massachusetts ATS7.9Monster Edge

12USC at Penn StatePenn State home game · GameScore 74.9

Penn State -1.0Penn State -2.1Penn State56%Penn State ATS1.1No Play

13Kansas at UtahUtah home game · GameScore 72.1

Utah -15.5Utah -10.1Utah76%Kansas ATS5.4Strong

14Florida State at LouisvilleLouisville home game · GameScore 71.5

Louisville -4.0Louisville -2.0Louisville56%Florida State ATS2.0No Play

15Texas A&M at MissouriMissouri home game · GameScore 70.8

Missouri -4.0Missouri -8.0Missouri71%Missouri ATS4.0Strong

16Wake Forest at NC StateNC State home game · GameScore 70.5

Wake Forest -3.5Wake Forest -3.6Wake Forest60%Wake Forest ATS0.1No Play

17Syracuse at VirginiaVirginia home game · GameScore 69.4

Virginia -9.0Virginia -4.6Virginia62%Syracuse ATS4.4Strong

18Texas at OklahomaNeutral site · GameScore 69.3

Texas -8.5Texas -11.7Texas79%Texas ATS3.2Playable

19Arizona at West VirginiaWest Virginia home game · GameScore 69.3

Arizona -3.0Arizona -2.1Arizona56%West Virginia ATS0.9No Play

20Coastal Carolina at MarshallMarshall home game · GameScore 68.2

Marshall -3.0Coastal Carolina -7.7Coastal Carolina70%Coastal Carolina ATS10.7Monster Edge

21LSU at KentuckyKentucky home game · GameScore 66.7

LSU -9.5LSU -14.1LSU84%LSU ATS4.6Strong

22South Florida at UTSAUTSA home game · GameScore 66.2

UTSA -7.0UTSA -1.6UTSA54%South Florida ATS5.4Strong

23Sacramento State at Bowling GreenBowling Green home game · GameScore 65.7

Bowling Green -7.5Sacramento State -3.8Sacramento State60%Sacramento State ATS11.3Monster Edge

24Boise State at Fresno StateFresno State home game · GameScore 65.5

Boise State -6.5Boise State -4.7Boise State63%Fresno State ATS1.8No Play

25Missouri State at Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky home game · GameScore 65.1

Western Kentucky -2.5Missouri State -0.5Missouri State52%Missouri State ATS3.0Playable

26North Carolina at PittsburghPittsburgh home game · GameScore 64.6

Pittsburgh -4.0Pittsburgh -17.6Pittsburgh89%Pittsburgh ATS13.6Monster Edge

27South Carolina at FloridaFlorida home game · GameScore 64.3

Florida -13.5Florida -10.7Florida77%South Carolina ATS2.8Playable

28Ole Miss at VanderbiltVanderbilt home game · GameScore 62.9

Ole Miss -9.5Ole Miss -5.0Ole Miss63%Vanderbilt ATS4.5Strong

29Minnesota at PurduePurdue home game · GameScore 61.9

Minnesota -2.5Minnesota -4.5Minnesota62%Minnesota ATS2.0No Play

30Iowa State at BYUBYU home game · GameScore 60.2

BYU -10.0BYU -15.0BYU85%BYU ATS5.0Strong

31Louisiana at Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech home game · GameScore 59.8

Louisiana Tech -3.0Louisiana Tech -10.9Louisiana Tech77%Louisiana Tech ATS7.9Monster Edge

32North Dakota State at UNLVUNLV home game · GameScore 59.2

North Dakota State -3.0North Dakota State -10.4North Dakota State76%North Dakota State ATS7.4Monster Edge

33Sam Houston at LibertyLiberty home game · GameScore 58.0

Liberty -14.0Liberty -8.2Liberty71%Sam Houston ATS5.8Strong

34James Madison at Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern home game · GameScore 56.8

James Madison -7.5James Madison -16.6James Madison87%James Madison ATS9.1Monster Edge

35Tulane at ArmyArmy home game · GameScore 56.4

Army -3.0Army -12.5Army81%Army ATS9.5Monster Edge

36Virginia Tech at CaliforniaCalifornia home game · GameScore 55.6

Virginia Tech -9.0Virginia Tech -14.6Virginia Tech84%Virginia Tech ATS5.6Strong

37Washington State at Utah StateUtah State home game · GameScore 54.7

Utah State -5.0Utah State -0.1Utah State50%Washington State ATS4.9Strong

38South Alabama at Arkansas StateArkansas State home game · GameScore 52.4

Arkansas State -1.0Arkansas State -6.3Arkansas State67%Arkansas State ATS5.3Strong

39New Mexico State at Florida InternationalFlorida International home game · GameScore 52.1

Florida International -5.5Florida International -3.7Florida International60%New Mexico State ATS1.8No Play

40Southern Miss at TroyTroy home game · GameScore 52.0

Troy -10.5Troy -4.9Troy63%Southern Miss ATS5.6Strong

41Duke at Georgia TechGeorgia Tech home game · GameScore 51.3

Duke -7.0Duke -15.7Duke86%Duke ATS8.7Monster Edge

42Tennessee at ArkansasArkansas home game · GameScore 47.8

Tennessee -13.5Tennessee -18.4Tennessee90%Tennessee ATS4.9Strong

43Maryland at Ohio StateOhio State home game · GameScore 47.6

Ohio State -34.5Ohio State -26.7Ohio State97%Maryland ATS7.8Monster Edge

44Central Michigan at OhioOhio home game · GameScore 45.4

Ohio -3.0Ohio -8.4Ohio72%Ohio ATS5.4Strong

45San Diego State at Oregon StateOregon State home game · GameScore 44.9

Oregon State -14.0Oregon State -16.9Oregon State88%Oregon State ATS2.9Playable

46Eastern Michigan at AkronAkron home game · GameScore 42.0

Eastern Michigan -7.0Eastern Michigan -5.9Eastern Michigan66%Akron ATS1.1No Play

47Old Dominion at App StateApp State home game · GameScore 41.5

App State -10.0App State -13.8App State83%App State ATS3.8Playable

48Rice at East CarolinaEast Carolina home game · GameScore 41.0

East Carolina -10.0East Carolina -13.2East Carolina82%East Carolina ATS3.2Playable

49UAB at MemphisMemphis home game · GameScore 40.8

Memphis -14.0Memphis -17.8Memphis89%Memphis ATS3.8Playable

50Wyoming at San José StateSan José State home game · GameScore 39.4

San José State -6.5San José State -8.2San José State71%San José State ATS1.7No Play

51Stanford at Notre DameNotre Dame home game · GameScore 37.6

Notre Dame -38.0Notre Dame -45.9Notre Dame100%Notre Dame ATS7.9Monster Edge

52Air Force at Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois home game · GameScore 34.2

Air Force -7.5Air Force -20.1Air Force92%Air Force ATS12.6Monster Edge

53Nevada at UTEPUTEP home game · GameScore 33.0

Nevada -9.5Nevada -9.6Nevada75%Nevada ATS0.1No Play

54Hawai'i at Arizona StateArizona State home game · GameScore 31.7

Arizona State -21.0Arizona State -19.9Arizona State91%Hawai'i ATS1.1No Play

55Kent State at Western MichiganWestern Michigan home game · GameScore 28.2

Western Michigan -14.0Western Michigan -17.4Western Michigan89%Western Michigan ATS3.4Playable

56Ball State at NorthwesternNorthwestern home game · GameScore 25.0

Northwestern -36.0Northwestern -33.6Northwestern99%Ball State ATS2.4No Play

57Buffalo at ToledoToledo home game · GameScore 21.9

Toledo -20.0Toledo -29.1Toledo98%Toledo ATS9.1Monster Edge

58Charlotte at North TexasNorth Texas home game · GameScore 17.6

North Texas -27.5North Texas -33.1North Texas99%North Texas ATS5.6Strong

POWER RATINGS

The complete team board

Current rating combines the preseason anchor, opponent-adjusted margin, efficiency, and momentum using the workbook’s week-specific weights.

RankTeamConferencePreseasonOpp AdjEfficiencyMomentumCurrent

AlabamaALA

SEC28.2341.2924.530.0036.26

MiamiMIA

ACC29.8035.5534.270.0035.17

Notre DameND

FBS Independents33.9435.4630.840.0034.08

GeorgiaUGA

SEC29.9632.1434.000.0032.70

Ohio StateOSU

Big Ten34.8633.7227.420.0031.83

LSULSU

SEC21.3730.1729.980.0030.11

IndianaIU

Big Ten28.2428.8929.940.0029.21

TexasTEX

SEC25.9334.8212.090.0028.00

UCLAUCLA

Big Ten6.4429.7918.920.0026.53

OregonORE

Big Ten35.8629.5719.320.0026.50

UtahUTAH

Big 1218.3525.3426.070.0025.56

PittsburghPITT

ACC8.2928.1418.090.0025.13

HoustonHOU

Big 127.1425.9620.750.0024.40

New MexicoUNM

Mountain West-4.7124.2523.790.0024.11

BYUBYU

Big 1213.5722.0126.090.0023.24

James MadisonJMU

Sun Belt5.8423.4620.310.0022.51

NebraskaNEB

Big Ten12.3921.3324.240.0022.20

MissouriMIZ

SEC16.6122.7318.750.0021.53

FloridaFLA

SEC17.2423.2415.640.0020.96

TennesseeTENN

SEC20.7122.4616.310.0020.61

WEEK 6 · UNDER THE HOOD

How Week 6 is weighted.

This week uses 0% preseason anchor, 70% opponent-adjusted margin, 30% efficiency, and 0% capped momentum.

PROJECTED HOME MARGIN(Home Current Rating − Away Current Rating) + 2.5 HFA

Matchup projections are analytical outputs, not guarantees or betting advice.

Preseason anchor0%

Week 6 schedule

Opponent-adjusted margin70%

Completed-score signal

Efficiency rating30%

Imported advanced stats

Momentum0%

Capped to limit overreaction

Vegas blend35%

Playable edge2.5+

Probability σ14.5